Following their win on Sunday night, Juventus claimed a fifth consecutive Scudetto – a remarkable feat for any side from any era but off the back of their expulsion to Serie B in 2006 they have even more reason to be proud. Gianluigi Buffon, who stayed with the side when they fell to the second tier, produced one of his finest seasons at the age of 38 and the men in front of him were molded into the most dominant of forces following an alarming opening ten games which saw just two wins. Juventus have been exceptional since then, sweeping through the next 25 collecting 24 wins. Earning 73 league points in a little less than six months, they now find themselves uncatchable with three games to go.
With Roma slow starters and Inter nose-diving, it is Napoli who the felt the full force of Juventus’ surge. Unlucky to be edged out of an even encounter in February, Maurizio Sarri’s squad have never looked capable of denying their rivals. They still had a mathematical chance last Monday lunchtime before being silenced by a late Radja Nainggolan strike in a 1-0 defeat to Roma. They now find themselves just two points clear of Luciano Spalletti’s side, whose undefeated run stretches back to January. Napoli will be grateful to have three winnable games and I don’t expect Atalanta to pose them much threat on Monday night. They can be taken at 1/6 to win and 8/11 to score more than two goals.
Sassuolo and Verona thwarted my accumulator last weekend with surprise wins against Torino and AC Milan respectively – they meet eachother on Sunday. I had been fearful of Sassuolo’s away form but did not expect them to find the net three times in Turin. It was a great result in a season of many for Sassuolo. They boosted their flexible forward line in January plucking former Brentford striker Marcelo Trotta from Serie B after scoring goals for Avellino.
Verona’s win against Milan was far more unexpected. The club have looked doomed for relegation since March but have refused to roll over and submit; a poor result to Carpi was followed by a scrappy win away to Bologna, last Wednesday’s loss to Empoli answered by defeating Milan. They relied on two set-pieces to complete a comeback, a 95th minute free-kick by Luca Siligardi a rare cause of celebration in an otherwise dour campaign. In spite of this, the safety of 17th place is now mathematically impossible and I’ll be backing Sassuolo at 8/15 this weekend.
Milan will be looking to bounce back against Frosinone. The cities differ vastly in size, the clubs in footballing history, and it’s incredible to think this could be a competitive match. Sadly I just don’t see Frosinone getting a result – a Milan win is priced at 1/4.
Frosinone’s relegation battle could be lost should Carpi collect a point on Sunday morning but that’s not likely given they’re up against the champions. Carpi have the hard task of getting past Buffon – they can be taken at 1/1 just to score a goal.
The third side eyeing survival is Palermo. A win last weekend kept their chances alive and a home game vs. Sampdoria presents a chance for another. It’s impossible to know which Palermo side will turn up but at 5/2 the draw is appealing.
Inter’s last four away games have seen under 2.5 goals and I’ll be gambling on the trend continuing vs. Lazio at 10/11. Elsewhere, Empoli look good value to beat Bologna and can be taken to win + BTTS at 10/3.
Win Treble @ 4.40
Goals double @ 2.59
Mixed double @ 2.39
Anytime goalscorer treble @ 12.6