Despite being fiercely contested and often decided by a single goal, results will show the Derby della Mole to be one of the most one-sided derbies in Europe since the start of the 1990s. Torino have left with the bragging rights just six times in the last 43 encounters and, worst still, just once in the last 20.
It’s worth noting that Torino only returned to Serie A at the start of the 2012 season and, though Juventus won the next four ties without conceding a goal, the underdogs made a huge breakthrough last April – edging the fixture 2-1 for a landmark win.
When the two meet on Sunday afternoon they will resume their usual roles; Juventus the behemoth of Italian domestic football with defences bordering the insurmountable, Torino the opportunists with eyes fixed on a mid-table finish.
By scoring in the last three league meetings, Torino have been able to do something not many manage to do – breach Juventus’ defence. It will be a tough ask to repeat this feat on Sunday, Juventus collecting clean sheets in their last ten games. Either way, they’ll be keen to avoid the 4-0 scoreline of December’s Coppa Italia game. Last weekend I backed Torino to win away to Genoa and whilst Ciro Immobile fired home twice, they lost the game 3-2. You can back Juventus to win to nil at an attractive 7/4, or with both team’s scoring at 15/4.
Despite the Turin derby, Serie A’s headline billing is given to Inter’s trip to Roma – at least in terms of TV scheduling. The two meet at 7:45 on Saturday night and a home win should see to the end of Inter’s pursuit of third spot. Roma have been in great form and Mancini’s Inter may settle for a point. The draw would end Roma’s winning streak and can be found at 5/2.
Also on Saturday is Empoli vs. Palermo, the two teams with the worst form in the league. Empoli’s 11th place position is testament to their excellent start but Palermo are less assured, just one point clear of the drop zone. They have had the harder games recently and I might be tempted to back the Sicilians at a huge 15/4. A safer bet could be BTTS at 4/5.
With AC Milan vs. Lazio and Sassuolo vs. Udinese we could be treated to some good games this weekend. I’ll be backing home wins in both ties with Milan eager to bounce back from a frustrating 0-0 draw with Chievo. Sassuolo played well enough against Juventus and I’ll be surprised if they are toppled by Udinese.
If you backed all the favourites last weekend, you would have been shaking your head when Fiorentina conceded an Eros Pisano equaliser at home to Verona. If you’ve forgiven them over the last week (I’m not sure I have) they can be taken at 1/2 away to Frosinone.
Win Treble @ 5.01/1
Goals Double @ 3.21/1
BTTS Double @ 3.44/1
Match Prediction @ 16/1
(Odds correct as of 18/03)