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Monday Betting Preview: Stoke vs Spurs

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Tonight could be the night the Premier League title race takes a turn. After Leicester’s controversial draw yesterday against West Ham, Tottenham have been given an opportunity to close the gap at the top down to 5 points in pursuit of their first league title since 1961; the team in the way, Stoke City.

Stoke City and the Brittannia Stadium has never been an easy place to go to, however this season Stoke have only won 7 out of their 16 home games losing nearly as many in that time (6). Spurs also have the league’s best defence this season and the foundation of their title push has been the work of their defence with special praise going to Hugo Lloris and Toby Alderweireld. Tonight though I see the pressure getting to Spurs, at least at first and I reckon they could go behind in the first 45 minutes and possibly a goal from Stoke’s top goalscorer Marko Arnautovic, he is 8/1 to score first or 10/3 anytime.

 

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Despite this setback I do expect Spurs’ fitness to eventually prevail and I reckon they will snatch a victory from the jaws of defeat, look at 2-1 Spurs @ 7/1 and my personal tip Tottenham to come from behind and win @ 9/1.

Whilst we are talking about Tottenham it seems a good time to talk about Spurs’ goal machine and his chances at winning the Premier League Golden Boot. Jamie Vardy begin sent off yesterday means that he will miss Leciester’s next game against Swansea and has dealt Vardy a blow in relation to being top goalscorer. That leaves only two players left with a realistic chance of winning that prize and they are Harry Kane (evens, 1/1) and Sergio Aguero (7/4) but I think City’s Champions League involvement will cause the Argentine problems.

 

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Listed below are the remaining fixture for both Spurs and Manchester City:

Tottenham: Stoke (A), West Brom (H), Chelsea (A), Southampton (H) and Newcastle (A)

Man City: Newcastle (H), Stoke (H), Southampton (A), Arsenal (H) and Swansea (A)

Both teams have very similar run-in until you add the fact that Manchester City have to play Real Madrid over two legs between now and the end of the domestic season. Can Aguero play all those games with his injury record? Even if he does, will he be at his sharpest? It’s fair to say Tottenham have been very lucky that Kane has not got injured at all this season but now with only 5 games left and a week between each game, I back Harry Kane to be the Premier League’s Top Scorer this season.

I know this article has been a Spurs-fest so for my final words let’s talk about other games taking place today. There are two big Premeira Liga games tonight as Braga take on bottom of the table Tondela and Benfica have only have to avoid defeat at home to Vitoria de Setubal. Looking at their win odds of 4/11 (Braga) and 1/9 Benfica their doesn’t seem to be a lot of value but if you go looking you can find some value in other markets. Braga should win by 2 of more goals tonight so I would back them on a -1 handicap @ 1/1  and combine it with Benfica to win to nil @ 4/7.

 

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A £10 treble with Spurs, Braga (-1) and Benfica to win to nil pays £54.30. Practically printing money!

 

 

(Images: standard/skysports/tadall)

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